The Worst Suburbs in Sydney for Living: 2026 Guide
Most “worst suburbs in Sydney” lists publish a crime rate that the NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research does not publish, for areas it deliberately refuses to rank.
That is not a technicality. It is the reason those lists disagree with each other and with the official data.
This guide uses BOCSAR’s own figures for the year to March 2026, released on 18 June 2026, and labels every number for what it actually is. Where the data stops, we say so.
For the other side of the picture see the safest suburbs in Sydney. We are removalists Melbourne who run the Sydney corridor every week.
Quick answer
On BOCSAR data for the year to March 2026, Penrith records the highest violent crime rate in Greater Sydney at 1,417 per 100,000, ahead of Campbelltown, the Central Coast and Blacktown. These are council areas: BOCSAR does not publish a crime rate by suburb outside its interactive map.
The context matters more than the ranking. NSW violent crime rose just 0.3 per cent, ten of thirteen major offence categories were statistically stable, and Sydney’s worst council ranks only 46th in New South Wales. The state’s crime problem is regional, not metropolitan.
Updated 4 August 2026. Crime figures: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research, year to March 2026 compared with the year to March 2025, released 18 June 2026. Figures describe recorded incidents by where they happened, not where anyone lives.
Worst suburbs in Sydney by crime rate
BOCSAR publishes rates per 100,000 people at council level. At suburb level it publishes counts only, with no population denominator, outside its interactive mapping tool.
So any Sydney suburb “crime rate” you read on a listicle is either a council figure wearing a suburb’s name, or somebody divided a count by a population and invented one. This table is councils, ranked by violent crime rate.
| # | Council area | Rate per 100,000 | Incidents | Change on last year | Rank in NSW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penrith | 1,417 | 3,241 | up 6.5% | 46th |
| 2 | Campbelltown | 1,371 | 2,582 | down 4.2% | 50th |
| 3 | Central Coast | 1,343 | 4,765 | down 3.9% | 53rd |
| 4 | Blacktown | 1,295 | 5,682 | up 2.6% | 57th |
| 5 | Liverpool | 1,131 | 2,883 | down 8.9% | 66th |
| 6 | Hawkesbury | 1,004 | 690 | down 13.0% | 73rd |
| 7 | Cumberland | 987 | 2,490 | up 0.5% | 74th |
| 8 | Burwood | 953 | 413 | up 17.3% | 76th |
| 9 | Parramatta | 934 | 2,567 | up 7.9% | 78th |
| 10 | Canterbury-Bankstown | 913 | 3,516 | down 7.0% | 79th |
| New South Wales | 1,166 | 98,865 | up 0.3% |
Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research, LGA ranking for violent and property offences, year to March 2026 against year to March 2025. Rates are council rates per 100,000 population; incidents are raw counts. The City of Sydney is absent because BOCSAR does not compute a rate for it, as explained below.
Five of these ten fell year on year. Hawkesbury dropped 13.0 per cent, Liverpool 8.9 per cent and Canterbury-Bankstown 7.0 per cent.
Burwood is the outlier in the other direction at 17.3 per cent, though on a small base of 413 incidents, where a modest absolute change moves the percentage a long way.
Read this next to the fastest growing suburbs in Sydney, since several of these councils are absorbing the most new residents in the state. Our moving house checklist covers what to do once you have shortlisted.
Sydney crime in context: flat, and not where you think
The second thing every list gets wrong is the direction. New South Wales recorded 98,865 violent crime incidents in the year to March 2026, a rate of 1,166 per 100,000. The year before it was 1,162.
That is a rise of 0.3 per cent, which is another way of saying nothing happened. BOCSAR’s own trend testing found ten of thirteen major offence categories statistically stable over the 24 months to March 2026, with two rising and one falling.
| Measure | Year to Mar 2026 | Year to Mar 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| NSW violent crime rate | 1,166 | 1,162 | up 0.3% |
| NSW property crime rate | 1,606 | 1,595 | up 0.7% |
| Greater Sydney violent incidents | 52,191 | 52,299 | down 0.2% |
| Greater Sydney property incidents | 75,602 | 73,572 | up 2.8% |
NSW rates are BOCSAR published rates. The Greater Sydney rows are raw incident counts we aggregated from the council figures, not a BOCSAR published rate. Source: BOCSAR, year to March 2026.
Now the part that reframes the whole question. Penrith has the highest violent crime rate in Greater Sydney, and it ranks 46th in New South Wales.
Forty five council areas outside Sydney record higher rates. Walgett, in the state’s north west, appears in BOCSAR’s file at 5,512 per 100,000, roughly 3.9 times Penrith’s rate.
Whatever Sydney’s problems are, being the dangerous part of New South Wales is not one of them. Hold that alongside the cost of living in Sydney, which moves people between areas far more than crime does.
If a move is on the cards at short notice, we also run same day removals.
Count versus rate, and why every Sydney list disagrees
Blacktown records 5,682 violent incidents, the largest raw count of any Sydney council outside the City of Sydney. On rate it ranks fourth.
Hawkesbury records 690 incidents, an eighth of Blacktown’s, and ranks sixth on rate. Blacktown simply has far more people.
Count answers “how much happens here”. Rate answers “how much happens per person”. Blacktown has roughly 8 times Hawkesbury’s incident count and a rate only 29 per cent higher, because it has far more residents.
Lists that mix the two produce rankings that contradict each other, which is exactly what you see across the first page of results. A 2 per cent difference in rate can flip a ranking that a 4,992 incident difference in count would not.
| What you often see | What is actually true |
|---|---|
| A per capita crime rate for a named Sydney suburb | BOCSAR publishes suburb data as counts only, outside its interactive map |
| The Sydney CBD ranked as the most dangerous area | BOCSAR excludes the City of Sydney from its rate rankings entirely |
| Very large incident totals at transport hubs | Those totals can include rail ticketing and fare enforcement |
| A ranking with no date on it | Crime data is quarterly; a list with no period is unusable |
BOCSAR declines to convert City of Sydney counts into a rate because resident population is not a valid denominator for a central business district. Ranking the CBD “by crime rate” means ranking on a figure the statistical agency itself refuses to calculate.
That last point deserves emphasis. When the official agency will not compute a number, a number computed anyway is not a stricter version of the truth. It is an invention.
If you are moving into the inner city, building access and security matter more day to day than any council figure. Our guide to choosing a removalist covers what to check when a tower controls your move date.
For a high rise in particular, apartment moves get booked around the lift, not around your calendar.
Flood and bushfire risk in Sydney suburbs
Sydney’s serious flood exposure is concentrated on the Hawkesbury-Nepean, and the history there is longer and worse than most new arrivals realise.
The valley floor around Windsor, Richmond and Penrith is the exposure, and the Hawkesbury council area sits sixth on our crime table for entirely unrelated reasons.
On bushfire we are not publishing a list of Sydney’s worst suburbs, because no official ranking exists. What exists is legislated mapping: every council must map bushfire prone land, and the designation applies property by property.
A suburb name will not tell you whether a specific house is in it. Check the address on the NSW planning portal before you sign anything, then work the practical side with our moving house tips.
Size the job before you book with our volume calculator, which sets the truck and the crew.
What is actually rising in Sydney: e-bike theft
With most categories flat, the interesting question is which ones moved. BOCSAR named the answer in its March 2026 update, and it is not what the listicles are worried about.
| Offence | What BOCSAR reported | Change |
|---|---|---|
| E-bike theft | 1,644 to 2,080 incidents in the year to March 2026 | up 27% over two years |
| Copper theft | 192 additional incidents | up 16.3% |
| Greater Sydney “other stealing” | the wider category both of the above sit inside | up 5.7% |
BOCSAR, NSW Recorded Crime Statistics quarterly update, March 2026, published 18 June 2026. The e-bike figure is a two year change, from the year to March 2024 to the year to March 2026. The 436 additional thefts account for 37 per cent of the increase in other stealing offences where the stolen item was recorded.
E-bike theft alone drove 37 per cent of the growth in other stealing offences where the stolen item was recorded. If you keep one in a shared apartment garage, that is a more useful fact than any suburb ranking.
It is also the kind of crime that follows density rather than disadvantage, which is why it turns up in the inner east as readily as the outer west.
Worth knowing if you are moving into a building with shared storage. Our packing calculator and our notes on storage costs cover how to keep valuables out of communal areas during a move.
Where Sydney crime is moving: not just the west
The stereotype puts Sydney’s crime in the west. The movement in the latest data is broader than that, and it includes the east.
| Area | Measure | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Central Coast | Other stealing, two years to March 2026 | up 18.0% |
| Parramatta | Other stealing, two years to March 2026 | up 10.3% |
| Randwick | Property crime rate | up 30.4% |
| Eastern Suburbs | Other stealing, two years to March 2026 | up 13.6% |
| City and Inner South | Other stealing, two years to March 2026 | up 9.6% |
| Liverpool | Violent crime rate | down 8.9% |
| Canterbury-Bankstown | Violent crime rate | down 7.0% |
BOCSAR, year to March 2026, and the quarterly update’s two year trend series. Greater Sydney “other stealing” rose 5.7 per cent over the same period, so the eastern figures sit well above the metropolitan average.
Randwick is an eastern suburbs council, not a western one, and its property crime rate rose faster than anywhere else we looked at. The Central Coast and Parramatta rose too. Meanwhile Liverpool and Canterbury-Bankstown, both regularly named on worst suburb lists, fell.
Reputations lag the numbers by years in both directions. That is the single most useful thing to take from any of this if you are choosing where to live.
We see the same lag in what people ask us to quote. Our removalist cost guide and the cheaper end of the market get more traffic from these areas than their reputations would suggest.
Frequently asked questions about the worst suburbs in Sydney
The questions we get asked most when someone rings about a Sydney move. For the broader picture, see the richest suburbs in Sydney and our national comparison of the cost of living in Australia.
What is the worst suburb in Sydney for crime?
BOCSAR does not publish crime rates by suburb outside its interactive map. By council area, Penrith records the highest violent crime rate in Greater Sydney at 1,417 per 100,000 in the year to March 2026.
Is crime in Sydney getting worse?
Not meaningfully. NSW violent crime rose 0.3 per cent and property crime 0.7 per cent in the year to March 2026. Ten of thirteen major offence categories were statistically stable.
Why is the Sydney CBD missing from the ranking?
BOCSAR excludes the City of Sydney from its rate rankings because resident population is not a valid denominator for a central business district, where most victims are workers and visitors.
Which Sydney council improved the most?
Hawkesbury, where the violent crime rate fell 13.0 per cent in the year to March 2026. Liverpool fell 8.9 per cent and Canterbury-Bankstown 7.0 per cent over the same period.
Is western Sydney more dangerous than the east?
On rate, several western councils rank higher. On direction, the east is moving the wrong way: Randwick property crime rose 30.4 per cent while Liverpool and Canterbury-Bankstown both fell.
How does Sydney compare with the rest of New South Wales?
Favourably. The worst Greater Sydney council ranks 46th in the state. Walgett appears in BOCSAR’s data at 5,512 per 100,000, roughly 3.9 times Penrith’s rate.
How current is this data?
It covers the year to 31 March 2026, compared with the year to March 2025, and was released by BOCSAR on 18 June 2026. Crime data is updated quarterly, so check the reference period on any ranking.
Picked your Sydney suburb? Let’s get you moved
Sydney’s worst suburb lists are mostly a ranking of council boundaries against invented rates, with no date attached. The official picture is flatter, less western and less alarming than the headlines.
Use the table to ask better questions. Then check the specific address for flood, the specific building for access, and ignore anything that quotes a suburb crime rate without saying where it came from.
When you have chosen, get a free moving quote and hold the price for a year while you sort the rest.
We handle moves across Victoria and the eastern corridor, and if your dates will not line up we can bridge the gap with storage between homes.
Last updated: 4 August 2026. Crime figures are recorded criminal incidents by the location of the incident, not the residence of anyone involved. Rates are council rates per 100,000 population; suburb figures are counts. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research.
Sources (verified 4 August 2026):
• NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research, LGA ranking for violent and property offences, year to March 2026 — bocsar.nsw.gov.au
• BOCSAR, NSW Recorded Crime Statistics quarterly update March 2026, published 18 June 2026 — bocsar.nsw.gov.au media release
• NSW SES, Hawkesbury-Nepean Valley floods, for the 131 recorded floods and the 1867 event — ses.nsw.gov.au
• NSW Rural Fire Service, Guide for Bush Fire Prone Land Mapping — rfs.nsw.gov.au
• NSW Planning Portal, for address level bushfire and flood checks — planningportal.nsw.gov.au
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